MUMBAI: BJP likely to make a hat-trick with around 155 seats with a vote share of 41 per cent in the upcoming assembly polls in Madhya Pradesh, predicts ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey. Congress likely to get around 65 seats and a vote share of about 33 per cent. BSP to get around 6 seats in the 230-seat assembly in Madhya Pradesh.
|
MP Seat Forecast
|
| Party | Actual vote % in the 2008 assembly elections | Actual seats in the 2008 assembly elections | Vote Share% as per the Opinion poll in Nov '13 | Seats as per the Opinion poll in Nov '13 |
|
INC
|
32.1
|
66
|
33
|
65
|
|
BJP
|
37.9
|
148
|
41
|
155
|
|
BSP
|
9.1
|
7
|
9
|
6
|
|
BJSH
|
4.9
|
5
|
|
|
|
IND + Others
|
16.1
|
4
|
17
|
4
|
|
Total
|
100
|
230
|
100
|
230
|
80 per cent feel that BJP should get another chance in MP
According to the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, around 55% respondents rated the performance of the present Chief Mninister Shri Shiv Raj Singh Chouhan as very good. 80% of the respondents feel that BJP should get another chance to govern Madhya Pradesh. 43% respondents rated the BJP Government as good.
Shiv Raj Singh Chouhan most prefered CM
As per the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, 78% respondents feel that Shiv Raj Singh Chouhan should be the next Chief Minister of Madhya Pradesh. On a scale of 5, the present Chief Minister Shri Shiv Raj Singh Chouhan scored 4.3. Around 68% disagree with the statement that Shiv Raj Singh Chouhan is corrupt and cannot control corruption. Though 62% respondents strongly agree that the present Chief Minister has a clean image. According to the survey, around 73% would vote for BJP if Jyotiraditya Scindia is announced as the Chief Ministerial candidate.
Congress not united in Madhya Pradesh, will make it difficult for the party
As per the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, 32 % respondents feel that Congress in MP is not united and will make things difficult for Congress, a similar number of respondents (32%) feel that even if there are some differences between the two Congress still stand a chance.
BJP-ruled Madhya Pradesh still facing problems of Bijli, Sadak and Paani
In 2003, BJP came to power in the State by highlighting poor condition of Bijli, Sadak and Paani. After 10 years of BJP rule the state is again facing same problems. As per the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, 66% respondents feel that a lot has been achieved by BJP in the last 10 years concerning Bijli Sadak and Paani but still a lot is yet to come.
BJP government is doing well for the farmers
According to the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, around 72% respondents feel that the state government is doing enough for the affected farmers. Around 50% respondents are aware that many farmers have been affected due to water logging from the Omkareshawar Dam.
The opinion poll was conducted by ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen with around 21352 respondents. The field work for the survey was done between 28th October, 2013 to 14th November 2013. The confidence interval (margin of error) assumed for vote share prediction lies in the ranges of ±5%.
